so y'all all ready know,or at least you should.
H1 N1 EPIDEMIC AKA THE SWINE FLU
THE 1916-1918 EPIDEMIC KILLED 60-80 MILLION PEOPLE
AND THAT IS BEFORE MODERN TRANSPORTATION LIKE HIGH SPEED
TRAINS, AIRPLANES/AIR TRAVEL ETC
SCARY THING AND THIS EPIDEMIC ALREADY KILLED OVER 2OO
PEOPLE WORLD WIDE AND IT HAS YET TO FULLY MUTATE SO WE
MIGHT BE SEEING A FEW MORE WAVES OF THIS INFLUENZA.
WE ARE NOW AT A PHASE 4 BY THE CDC FOR WORLWIDE ALERT
WHICH HAS NOT HAPPENED FOR MANY MANY YEARS.
THE 1916-1918 PANDEMIC STRAIN WHICH KILLED MILLIONS HAD
POLYMORPHISM FROM SWINE AND HUMAN H1 N1 IN ALL 8 PIECES
OF THE THE RNA(PART OF YOUR DNA)..THIS IS REALLY MEANS
THAT A QUICK EVOLUTION OF THIS STRAIN AND I MEAN MUTATED
SO IT GOES FROM HUMAN TO HUMAN MORE EASIER IS ALOT MORE
RAPID.
I WOULD ADVISE PEOPLE LOOK UP THE SWINE INLUENZA AND CHECK
IT OUT AS THIS COULD BE A VERY SERIOUS MATTER AND LIKE I SAID,
WE DID NOT HAVE ALL THE MODERN TRANSPORTATION BACK IN 1916-1918
SO THIS THING MAY SPREAD VERY VERY FAST IF IT CONTINUTES TO
MUTATE OR AS THEY SAID POLYMORPHISM IN THE STRAIN.
I, BEING AN UNIVERSITY STUDENT HAVE ALREADY BEEN UP TO DATE
ON ALL OF THIS!
YOU SWINE ..YOU.. the warning of a panademic world wide of s
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Blaze In Time
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Blaze In Time
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Re: YOU SWINE ..YOU.. the warning of a panademic world wide of s
and this is from Wired.com.
Wired Science News for Your Neurons
Swine Flu: What You Need to Know
* By Brandon Keim Email Author
* April 27, 2009 |
* 4:38 pm |
* Categories: Animals, Biology, Disease, Food and Drink, Government, Medicine & Medical Procedures
3471986083_2ec67af51e_b
Since the first reports in early April of several unusual cases of flu in Mexico’s Veracruz state, the world has been increasingly transfixed by the outbreak of a highly contagious and potentially lethal new type of influenza. Here’s a Wired.com primer on what you need to know about H1N1, or swine flu:
Approximately 1,600 cases have been reported so far in Mexico, and 103 people have died. Not all the cases have been officially confirmed, but it’s believed that the same virus strain is responsible. Many of those who died were between the ages of 25 and 45. This is especially concerning, because flu doesn’t usually kill people in their prime. Twenty cases have been reported in the United States. All of those people were quarantined and, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, have recovered.
The World Health Organization says swine flu has the potential for becoming a worldwide epidemic. It has urged national public health systems to be vigilant and watch out for flu outbreaks in demographic groups other than children and the elderly. However, WHO says it’s too soon to know if a new vaccine is warranted or international travel should be restricted.
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services declared a public health emergency on Sunday. Homeland Security Department Secretary Janet Napolitano said at a news conference that the declaration is not reason for alarm, but is standard operating procedure required to allow the release of government funds and drug stockpiles.
WHO and CDC are now scrambling to profile the new strain of swine flu. They know that it contains a cocktail of genes from human-, swine- and bird-flu strains. Though it was originally reported that the strain contained a cocktail of human-, swine- and bird-flu genes, it appears to be a novel combination of two existing swine flu strains. Mortality rates appear directly related to delay of treatment. If caught in time, the disease can apparently be treated with relative ease.
Speaking of preparedness, congressional Republicans stripped the economic stimulus plan of $900 million for state and local pandemic-readiness programs, and $462 million for the CDC. What does a pandemic have to do with economic recovery? So far, the prospect of worldwide swine flu is causing market panics.
Mexican newspapers report the flu may have originated in high-density pig farms run by Smithfield Foods, the world’s largest hog producer. Some residents in the region allege that it jumped to humans through water supplies contaminated by pig waste, or by flies. Similar pig farms exist in the United States, and have been blamed for the rise of lethal, drug-resistant staph infections.
A great deal of information on the swine flu epidemic is on the internet. The most reliable is the CDC’s dedicated swine flu page. They also have a Twitter feed. In general, people might want to avoid Twitter-wide swine flu coverage, which tends toward the sensational and has a very low signal-to-noise ratio. The Biosurveillance blog, maintained by disease-surveillance company VeraTect, is a good source of news and analysis. So are the Aetiology and Effect Measure blogs.
And though it’s far too soon to panic, people who wish to take precautions against infection should see the CDC’s recommendations and Vinay Gupta’s Flu Code.
Note 4/28/2009: Text updated with additional information about viral strain origins at 11:00 ET
from
Wired Science News for Your Neurons
Swine Flu: What You Need to Know
* By Brandon Keim Email Author
* April 27, 2009 |
* 4:38 pm |
* Categories: Animals, Biology, Disease, Food and Drink, Government, Medicine & Medical Procedures
3471986083_2ec67af51e_b
Since the first reports in early April of several unusual cases of flu in Mexico’s Veracruz state, the world has been increasingly transfixed by the outbreak of a highly contagious and potentially lethal new type of influenza. Here’s a Wired.com primer on what you need to know about H1N1, or swine flu:
Approximately 1,600 cases have been reported so far in Mexico, and 103 people have died. Not all the cases have been officially confirmed, but it’s believed that the same virus strain is responsible. Many of those who died were between the ages of 25 and 45. This is especially concerning, because flu doesn’t usually kill people in their prime. Twenty cases have been reported in the United States. All of those people were quarantined and, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, have recovered.
The World Health Organization says swine flu has the potential for becoming a worldwide epidemic. It has urged national public health systems to be vigilant and watch out for flu outbreaks in demographic groups other than children and the elderly. However, WHO says it’s too soon to know if a new vaccine is warranted or international travel should be restricted.
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services declared a public health emergency on Sunday. Homeland Security Department Secretary Janet Napolitano said at a news conference that the declaration is not reason for alarm, but is standard operating procedure required to allow the release of government funds and drug stockpiles.
WHO and CDC are now scrambling to profile the new strain of swine flu. They know that it contains a cocktail of genes from human-, swine- and bird-flu strains. Though it was originally reported that the strain contained a cocktail of human-, swine- and bird-flu genes, it appears to be a novel combination of two existing swine flu strains. Mortality rates appear directly related to delay of treatment. If caught in time, the disease can apparently be treated with relative ease.
Speaking of preparedness, congressional Republicans stripped the economic stimulus plan of $900 million for state and local pandemic-readiness programs, and $462 million for the CDC. What does a pandemic have to do with economic recovery? So far, the prospect of worldwide swine flu is causing market panics.
Mexican newspapers report the flu may have originated in high-density pig farms run by Smithfield Foods, the world’s largest hog producer. Some residents in the region allege that it jumped to humans through water supplies contaminated by pig waste, or by flies. Similar pig farms exist in the United States, and have been blamed for the rise of lethal, drug-resistant staph infections.
A great deal of information on the swine flu epidemic is on the internet. The most reliable is the CDC’s dedicated swine flu page. They also have a Twitter feed. In general, people might want to avoid Twitter-wide swine flu coverage, which tends toward the sensational and has a very low signal-to-noise ratio. The Biosurveillance blog, maintained by disease-surveillance company VeraTect, is a good source of news and analysis. So are the Aetiology and Effect Measure blogs.
And though it’s far too soon to panic, people who wish to take precautions against infection should see the CDC’s recommendations and Vinay Gupta’s Flu Code.
Note 4/28/2009: Text updated with additional information about viral strain origins at 11:00 ET
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Re: YOU SWINE ..YOU.. the warning of a panademic world wide of s
Subject: Swine FLU INFO FROM DR. GITTERLE
Subject: FLU INFO FROM DR. GITTERLE
Friends, this is from an ER doctor in New Braunfels . .
It is more comprehensive than other things I've seen.
Date: Wed, 29 Apr 2009 08:55:31 -0500
Subject: Flu Update from Dr. Marcus Gitterle
After I returned from a public health meeting yesterday with community leaders and school officials in Comal County, Heather suggested I send an update to everyone, because what we are hearing privately from the CDC and Health Department is so different from what you are hearing in the media. Some of you know some or maybe all of this, but I will just list what facts I know.
- The virus is infectious for about 2 days prior to symptom onset
- Virus sheds more than 7 days after symptom onset (possibly as long as 9 days) (this is unusual)
- Since it is such a novel (new) virus, there is no "herd immunity," so the "attack rate" is very high. This is the percentage of people who come down with a virus if exposed. Almost everyone who is exposed to this virus will become infected, though not all will be symptomatc. That is much higher than seasonal flu, which averages 10-15%. The "clinical attack rate" may be around 40-50%. This is the number of people who show symptoms. This is a huge number. It is hard to convey the seriousness of this.
- The virulence (deadliness) of this virus is as bad here as in Mexico, and there are folks on ventilators here in the US, right now. This has not been in the media, but a 23 month old near here is fighting for his life, and a pregnant woman just south of San Antonio is fighting for her life. In Mexico, these folks might have died already, but here in the US, folks are getting Tamiflu or Relenza quickly, and we have ready access to ventilators. What this means is that within a couple of weeks, regional hospitals will likely become overwhelmed.
- Some of the kids with positive cases in Comal County had more than 70 contacts before diagnosis.
- There are 10-25 times more actual cases (not "possible" cases -- actual), than what is being reported in the media. The way they fudge on reporting this is that it takes 3 days to get the confirmatory nod from the CDC on a given viral culture, but based on epidemiological grounds, we know that there are more than 10 cases for each "confirmed" case right now.
- During the night, we crossed the threshold for the definition of a WHO, Phase 6 global pandemic. This has not happened in any of our lifetimes so far. We are in uncharted territory.
- I expect President Obama will declare an emergency sometime in the next 72-96 hours. This may not happen, but if it doesn't, I will be surprised. When this happens, all public gathering will be cancelled for 10 days.
- I suggest all of us avoid public gatherings. Outdoor activities are not as likely to lead to infection. It is contained areas and close contact that are the biggest risk.
- Tamiflu is running out. There is a national stockpile, but it will have to be carefully managed, as it is not enough to treat the likely number of infections when this is full-blown. I don't think there is a big supply of Relenza, but I do not know those numbers. If I had to choose, I would take Relenza, as I think it gets more drug to the affected tissue than Tamiflu.
- You should avoid going to the ER if you think you have been exposed or are symptomatic. ER's south of here are becoming overwhelmed -- and I mean that -- already. It is coming in waves, but the waves are getting bigger.
- It appears that this flu produces a distinctive "hoarseness" in many victims. The symptoms, in general, match other flu's; namely, sore throat, body aches, headache, cough, and fever. Some have all these symptoms, while others may have only one or two.
- N-Acetyl-Cysteine -- a nutritional supplement available at the health food store or Wimberley Pharmacy, has been shown to prevent or lessen the severity of influenza. I suggest 1200mg, twice a day for adults, and 600mg twice a day in kids over 12. It would be hard to get kids under 12 to take it, but you could try opening the capsules and putting it on yogurt. For 40 pounds and up, 300-600 mg twice a day, for less than 40 pounds, half that.
- Oscillococinum, a homeopathic remedy, has been vindicated as quite effective in a large clinical trial in Europe, with an H1N1 variant. You can buy this at Hill Country Natural Foods, or the Wimberley Pharmacy.
I will try to keep everyone posted if I have any new information. Meanwhile, don't be afraid just avoid infection. The fewer people infected the easier it will be for our public officials to manage it.
Marc
Subject: FLU INFO FROM DR. GITTERLE
Friends, this is from an ER doctor in New Braunfels . .
It is more comprehensive than other things I've seen.
Date: Wed, 29 Apr 2009 08:55:31 -0500
Subject: Flu Update from Dr. Marcus Gitterle
After I returned from a public health meeting yesterday with community leaders and school officials in Comal County, Heather suggested I send an update to everyone, because what we are hearing privately from the CDC and Health Department is so different from what you are hearing in the media. Some of you know some or maybe all of this, but I will just list what facts I know.
- The virus is infectious for about 2 days prior to symptom onset
- Virus sheds more than 7 days after symptom onset (possibly as long as 9 days) (this is unusual)
- Since it is such a novel (new) virus, there is no "herd immunity," so the "attack rate" is very high. This is the percentage of people who come down with a virus if exposed. Almost everyone who is exposed to this virus will become infected, though not all will be symptomatc. That is much higher than seasonal flu, which averages 10-15%. The "clinical attack rate" may be around 40-50%. This is the number of people who show symptoms. This is a huge number. It is hard to convey the seriousness of this.
- The virulence (deadliness) of this virus is as bad here as in Mexico, and there are folks on ventilators here in the US, right now. This has not been in the media, but a 23 month old near here is fighting for his life, and a pregnant woman just south of San Antonio is fighting for her life. In Mexico, these folks might have died already, but here in the US, folks are getting Tamiflu or Relenza quickly, and we have ready access to ventilators. What this means is that within a couple of weeks, regional hospitals will likely become overwhelmed.
- Some of the kids with positive cases in Comal County had more than 70 contacts before diagnosis.
- There are 10-25 times more actual cases (not "possible" cases -- actual), than what is being reported in the media. The way they fudge on reporting this is that it takes 3 days to get the confirmatory nod from the CDC on a given viral culture, but based on epidemiological grounds, we know that there are more than 10 cases for each "confirmed" case right now.
- During the night, we crossed the threshold for the definition of a WHO, Phase 6 global pandemic. This has not happened in any of our lifetimes so far. We are in uncharted territory.
- I expect President Obama will declare an emergency sometime in the next 72-96 hours. This may not happen, but if it doesn't, I will be surprised. When this happens, all public gathering will be cancelled for 10 days.
- I suggest all of us avoid public gatherings. Outdoor activities are not as likely to lead to infection. It is contained areas and close contact that are the biggest risk.
- Tamiflu is running out. There is a national stockpile, but it will have to be carefully managed, as it is not enough to treat the likely number of infections when this is full-blown. I don't think there is a big supply of Relenza, but I do not know those numbers. If I had to choose, I would take Relenza, as I think it gets more drug to the affected tissue than Tamiflu.
- You should avoid going to the ER if you think you have been exposed or are symptomatic. ER's south of here are becoming overwhelmed -- and I mean that -- already. It is coming in waves, but the waves are getting bigger.
- It appears that this flu produces a distinctive "hoarseness" in many victims. The symptoms, in general, match other flu's; namely, sore throat, body aches, headache, cough, and fever. Some have all these symptoms, while others may have only one or two.
- N-Acetyl-Cysteine -- a nutritional supplement available at the health food store or Wimberley Pharmacy, has been shown to prevent or lessen the severity of influenza. I suggest 1200mg, twice a day for adults, and 600mg twice a day in kids over 12. It would be hard to get kids under 12 to take it, but you could try opening the capsules and putting it on yogurt. For 40 pounds and up, 300-600 mg twice a day, for less than 40 pounds, half that.
- Oscillococinum, a homeopathic remedy, has been vindicated as quite effective in a large clinical trial in Europe, with an H1N1 variant. You can buy this at Hill Country Natural Foods, or the Wimberley Pharmacy.
I will try to keep everyone posted if I have any new information. Meanwhile, don't be afraid just avoid infection. The fewer people infected the easier it will be for our public officials to manage it.
Marc
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